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AUS vs AFG: Will Rain Affect the Match? Who Will Qualify for the Semi-Final if the Match is Canceled?

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The crucial match between Australia and Afghanistan in the Champions Trophy 2025 is scheduled to take place on February 28 at Lahore’s Gaddafi Stadium. This match will decide which team qualifies for the semi-finals from Group B. However, there is a chance of rain, which could result in the match being canceled. Let’s understand what happens in such a situation.

Semi-Final Qualification Scenario

From Group A, two teams have already secured their place in the semi-finals. But in Group B, things are still undecided. The match between Australia and Afghanistan is very important because the winner will move ahead in the tournament.

  • Afghanistan has a chance to create history by defeating Australia.
  • Australia will also try to win and confirm its semi-final spot.
  • However, rain is expected in Lahore, and the match might not be played.

So, if the match is canceled, which team will move to the semi-finals? Let’s find out.

What Happens if the Match is Canceled?

  • Australia has already played two matches in the tournament.
    • They won against England.
    • Their match against South Africa was canceled due to rain.
  • As a result, Australia currently has 3 points and a +0.475 Net Run Rate (NRR), placing them second in the points table.
  • Afghanistan’s performance so far:
    • Lost their first match to South Africa.
    • Won against England in a historic victory.
  • Right now, Afghanistan has 2 points with a -0.990 NRR, standing third in the points table.
  • South Africa is leading the group with 3 points and an NRR of +2.140.
  • England is already eliminated from the tournament.

Afghanistan Must Win to Qualify

To reach the semi-finals, Afghanistan must win this match. If they win, they will have 4 points, moving ahead of both Australia and South Africa.

But if the match is canceled, both teams will get 1 point each:

  • Australia will have 4 points and qualify for the semi-finals.
  • Afghanistan will have only 3 points, which means they will be eliminated.

Even if South Africa loses its last match, they will still qualify because their NRR is much better than Afghanistan’s.

Rain Forecast for the Match

According to AccuWeather, there is a 71% chance of rain in Lahore on February 28. However, at the time of the toss (2 PM), the chance of rain drops to 20%.

Afghanistan’s fans will be hoping that the weather remains clear so their team can play and fight for a semi-final spot. This match also gives Afghanistan a chance to take revenge for their loss against Australia in the 2023 ODI World Cup. However, they have already defeated Australia in the 2024 T20 World Cup.

Will Afghanistan create history, or will rain decide their fate? Fans will have to wait and see!

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